Bayesian Calibration (BC) and Bayesian Model Comparison (BMC) of process-based models: Theory, implementation and guidelines
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Comparison of Neural Network Models, Vector Auto Regression (VAR), Bayesian Vector-Autoregressive (BVAR), Generalized Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) Process and Time Series in Forecasting Inflation in Iran
This paper has two aims. The first is forecasting inflation in Iran using Macroeconomic variables data in Iran (Inflation rate, liquidity, GDP, prices of imported goods and exchange rates) , and the second is comparing the performance of forecasting vector auto regression (VAR), Bayesian Vector-Autoregressive (BVAR), GARCH, time series and neural network models by which Iran's inflation is for...
متن کاملBayesian change point estimation in Poisson-based control charts
Precise identification of the time when a process has changed enables process engineers to search for a potential special cause more effectively. In this paper, we develop change point estimation methods for a Poisson process in a Bayesian framework. We apply Bayesian hierarchical models to formulate the change point where there exists a step < /div> change, a linear trend and a known multip...
متن کاملJoint Bayesian Stochastic Inversion of Well Logs and Seismic Data for Volumetric Uncertainty Analysis
Here in, an application of a new seismic inversion algorithm in one of Iran’s oilfields is described. Stochastic (geostatistical) seismic inversion, as a complementary method to deterministic inversion, is perceived as contribution combination of geostatistics and seismic inversion algorithm. This method integrates information from different data sources with different scales, as prior informat...
متن کاملComparison of Bayesian and Frequentist Methods in Estimating the Net Reclassification and Integrated Discrimination Improvement Indices for Evaluation of Prediction Models: Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study
Introduction: The Frequency-based method is commonly used to estimate the Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI)- and Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) indices. These indices measure the magnitude of the performance of statistical models when a new biomarker is added. This method has poor performance in some cases, especially in small samples. In this study, the performance of two Bay...
متن کاملBayesian Analysis of Spatial Probit Models in Wheat Waste Management Adoption
The purpose of this study was to identify factors influencing the adoption of wheat waste management by wheat farmers. The method used in this study using the spatial Probit models and Bayesian model was used to estimate the model. MATLAB software was used in this study. The data of 220 wheat farmers in Khouzestan Province based on random sampling were collected in winter 2016. To calculate Bay...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2009